Saturday, November 22, 2008

Passing a camel through the eye of a needle

Prabhakaran is finally left with less than one tenth of the land area he used to hold before July 2006, when he made his worst ever military blunder by throwing down the gauntlet at Mavil Aru. When he ordered the capture and subsequent closure of an irrigation scheme there, he may not have thought his action would trigger a military avalanche threatening his very survival within two years.

Now that the army has taken Pooneryn back and is advancing eastwards with two more columns moving southward from the Jaffna peninsula, the fall of Elephant Pass and Kilinochchi is only a matter of time. His cadres will have to flee before long.

Army Commander Lt. Gen. Sarath Fonseka said in an interview with ITN on Thursday night that according to military intelligence the LTTE was down to 3,000 fighters. It, he said, was losing cadres at the rate of about 500 per month. It also seems to be experiencing a severe shortage of arms and ammunition, as evident from its increasing dependence on improvised shells in a bid to thwart the army's rapid advance on several fronts in the Vanni. Full Text